Sport Picks

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AD Lousada vs Camacha

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012
AD Lousada Logo

AD Lousada

2 - 0
FT
Camacha Logo

Camacha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 game between AD Lousada and Camacha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Lousada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AD Lousada
20%
Draws
57%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Camacha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 20%
Camacha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Lousada Camacha
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Camacha
2:0
Nov 6, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Camacha vs AD Lousada
2:0
Feb 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Camacha
2:1
Oct 31, 2010 Second Division - Zona Norte
Camacha vs AD Lousada
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Lousada 32 / 100
Camacha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Lousada Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Lousada scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Camacha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AD Lousada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Camacha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Lousada

(Home)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
Page 1 of 6

Camacha

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varzim 30 20 8 2 48:12 68
2 AD Fafe 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
3 Chaves 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
4 SC Mirandela 30 14 10 6 55:32 52
5 Tirsense 30 11 11 8 39:29 44
6 AD Limianos 30 11 11 8 34:25 44
7 Ribeirao 30 10 14 6 39:31 44
8 CD Ribeira Brava 30 12 6 12 33:37 42
9 Famalicao 30 10 9 11 29:32 39
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 30 10 9 11 43:48 39
11 Vizela 30 9 11 10 40:42 38
12 Maritimo B 30 10 8 12 41:45 38
13 Camacha 30 8 10 12 29:36 34
14 AD Lousada 30 8 8 14 30:45 32
15 Merelinense 30 3 7 20 33:68 16
16 AD Oliveirense 30 1 7 22 14:57 10
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)