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AD Lousada vs Chaves Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chaves in this Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AD Lousada
20%
Draws
51%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves have won more games recently than AD Lousada.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 17%
Chaves Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Lousada Chaves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Chaves
1:2
Oct 23, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs AD Lousada
2:1
Apr 10, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs AD Lousada
0:1
Dec 12, 2010 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Chaves
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Lousada 31 / 100
Chaves 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Lousada Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Lousada scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Chaves let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AD Lousada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chaves
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Lousada

(Home)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
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Chaves

(Away)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varzim 30 20 8 2 48:12 68
2 AD Fafe 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
3 Chaves 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
4 SC Mirandela 30 14 10 6 55:32 52
5 Tirsense 30 11 11 8 39:29 44
6 AD Limianos 30 11 11 8 34:25 44
7 Ribeirao 30 10 14 6 39:31 44
8 CD Ribeira Brava 30 12 6 12 33:37 42
9 Famalicao 30 10 9 11 29:32 39
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 30 10 9 11 43:48 39
11 Vizela 30 9 11 10 40:42 38
12 Maritimo B 30 10 8 12 41:45 38
13 Camacha 30 8 10 12 29:36 34
14 AD Lousada 30 8 8 14 30:45 32
15 Merelinense 30 3 7 20 33:68 16
16 AD Oliveirense 30 1 7 22 14:57 10
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)