Sport Picks
AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses 
Match Events
1'
1'
Cerveira T.
38'
38'
Gata J.
40'
40'
Semedo K.
Assist: Garro L.
AI Match Summary
AD Marco 09 in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Marco 09.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Marco 09
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Pacos Ferreira haven't matched AD Marco 09's recent run of results.
- Model gives AD Marco 09 a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Marco 09 Compare
Top Goalscorer Semedo K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Platiny
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Marco 09 95 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Marco 09 Pacos Ferreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Marco 09 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
AD Marco 09 scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Pacos Ferreira conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
AD Marco 09 VS Pacos Ferreira
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Marco 09
(Home) 20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0 AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1 AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0 SC Vianense
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0 SC Vianense
09 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
26 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Braga B
Page 1 of 3
Pacos Ferreira
(Away) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
09 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
26 Apr
Lusitania FC
2 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
10 Apr
FC Felgueiras
0 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
