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AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Pacheco F.
30'
Nandinho
52'
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between AD Marco 09 and Sanjoanense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AD Marco 09
22%
Draws
18%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Sanjoanense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Marco 09's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 68 / 100
Sanjoanense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

AD Marco 09's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AD Marco 09 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sanjoanense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS Sanjoanense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2
AD Marco 09
26 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Braga B
18 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
AD Fafe
12 Apr
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1
AD Fafe
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3
FC Felgueiras
03 May
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1
Sanjoanense
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Paredes
19 Apr
Braga B
1 : 2
Sanjoanense
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