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AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Pacheco F.
30'
Nandinho
52'
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between AD Marco 09 and Sanjoanense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AD Marco 09
20%
Draws
35%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Sanjoanense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 20%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 32 / 100
Sanjoanense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Marco 09 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AD Marco 09 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS Sanjoanense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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