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AD Merida vs Real Madrid C Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sanchez A.
11' Event
Martinez G.
30' Event
Santiago A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between AD Merida and Real Madrid C finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AD Merida
20%
Draws
50%
Real Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AD Merida carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Merida Real Madrid C
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
AD Merida vs Real Madrid C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Merida 32 / 100
Real Madrid C 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Merida Real Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: AD Merida scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid C conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: AD Merida remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Merida VS Real Madrid C
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Merida

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
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Real Madrid C

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
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