Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Merida vs Unionistas de Salamanca

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Romano Jose Fouto, Mérida
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Verges E.
13'
Farru
35'
Areso J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between AD Merida and Unionistas de Salamanca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AD Merida
39%
Draws
30%
Unionistas de Salamanca
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Merida have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Unionistas de Salamanca are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 15%
Unionistas de Salamanca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Merida Unionistas de Salamanca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
AD Merida vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs AD Merida
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Unionistas de Salamanca vs AD Merida
2:5
Feb 18, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs AD Merida
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
AD Merida vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibrani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Unionistas de Salamanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Merida 31 / 100
Unionistas de Salamanca 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Merida Unionistas de Salamanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Merida scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Unionistas de Salamanca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Merida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Merida VS Unionistas de Salamanca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Merida

(Home)
23 May
Osasuna B
1 : 2
AD Merida
17 May
AD Merida
1 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
09 May
Barakaldo
2 : 0
AD Merida
03 May
AD Merida
0 : 2
Lugo
24 Apr
Arenas Getxo
2 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

Unionistas de Salamanca

(Away)
23 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 2
Racing Club Ferrol
17 May
AD Merida
1 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
09 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 1
Tenerife
02 May
Real Madrid B
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
26 Apr
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)