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AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

1 - 0
FT
Chingale de Tete Logo

Chingale de Tete

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Pemba in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Pemba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
AD Pemba
15%
Draws
26%
Chingale de Tete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Pemba lately — more wins on the board than Chingale de Tete.
  • Win probability leans AD Pemba's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 68%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Pemba Chingale de Tete
Matches Played 17 26
Wins 5 4
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.53 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Mocambola
AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs AD Pemba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Pemba 68 / 100
Chingale de Tete 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Pemba Chingale de Tete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chingale de Tete has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: AD Pemba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chingale de Tete's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

AD Pemba scored in 41% of their last 17 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Pemba VS Chingale de Tete
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Pemba

(Home)
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
Page 1 of 4

Chingale de Tete

(Away)
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
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