Sport Picks
AD Pemba vs Ferroviario Beira
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
AD Pemba host Ferroviario Beira in the Mocambola. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. AD Pemba have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Ferroviario Beira's 0.88 scored and 0.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Ferroviario Beira slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 0-2. The numbers (0.32 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ferroviario Beira. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ferroviario Beira lately — more wins on the board than AD Pemba.
- Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Pemba | Ferroviario Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
AD Pemba found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (7 games).
Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.
AD Pemba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11:3 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Associacao Black Bulls | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Costa do Sol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nacala | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Sofala | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | 10 |
| 9 | ENH Vilankulo | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baia de Pemba | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |