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AD Rosario vs Grecia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ugalde A.
67' Event
Silva R.
70' Event
Camacho A.

AI Match Summary

AD Rosario in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Rosario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AD Rosario
30%
Draws
31%
Grecia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Grecia have won more games recently than AD Rosario.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 68%
Grecia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario Grecia
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
3:2
Mar 5, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Rosario
1:1
Feb 4, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
2:1
Jan 15, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Rosario
2:1
Oct 9, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camacho A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugalde A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 41 / 100
Grecia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario Grecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

AD Rosario's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Grecia let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: AD Rosario remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS Grecia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

Grecia

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)