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AD Rosario vs Quepos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mendez G.

AI Match Summary

AD Rosario in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Rosario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AD Rosario
15%
Draws
40%
Quepos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Quepos FC have won more games recently than AD Rosario.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 16%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario Quepos FC
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Quepos FC
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Rosario
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Quepos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 30 / 100
Quepos FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario Quepos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Quepos FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AD Rosario stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS Quepos FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 5

Quepos FC

(Away)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)