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AD San Juan vs Subiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Azagra G.
80' Event
Iriguibel A.
87' Event
Perez Betelu A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between AD San Juan and Subiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD San Juan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AD San Juan
20%
Draws
51%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Subiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Subiza a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 17%
Subiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD San Juan Subiza
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 14 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Subiza
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs AD San Juan
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Subiza
0:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Subiza vs AD San Juan
2:0
Mar 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Subiza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD San Juan Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriguibel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Betelu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Azagra G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD San Juan 15 / 100
Subiza 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD San Juan Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD San Juan found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Subiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AD San Juan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD San Juan VS Subiza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AD San Juan

(Home)
10 Oct
Mutilvera
1 : 0
AD San Juan
03 Oct
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Subiza
26 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
AD San Juan
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 7

Subiza

(Away)
03 Oct
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Subiza
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 6 6 0 0 20:3 18
2 Mutilvera 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
3 Beti Kozkor 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
4 Gazte Berriak 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
5 Ezcabarte 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
6 Aoiz 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
9 Doneztebe FT 6 1 3 2 11:8 6
10 Valle Egues 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
11 Txantrea 6 1 3 2 4:9 6
12 CD Beti Onak 6 0 5 1 5:8 5
13 Cortes 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
14 Pamplona 6 0 4 2 3:5 4
15 Huarte 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)