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AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
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Match Events

54' Event
Gonzalez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Sarchi and ADR Jicaral finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADR Jicaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AD Sarchi
20%
Draws
52%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ADR Jicaral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ADR Jicaral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 16%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 19
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
0:1
Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 10 / 100
ADR Jicaral 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Sarchi scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

ADR Jicaral has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

AD Sarchi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS ADR Jicaral
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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ADR Jicaral

(Away)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)