Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mesen Y.
68' Event
Mondragon J.
81'

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between AD Sarchi and Dep. Upala finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AD Sarchi
15%
Draws
0%
Dep. Upala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Sarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Sarchi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Dep. Upala
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs AD Sarchi
2:3
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs AD Sarchi
1:1
Sep 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondragon J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dep. Upala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesen Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 67 / 100
Dep. Upala 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Dep. Upala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Sarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dep. Upala conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Dep. Upala's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AD Sarchi's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Dep. Upala
1.13 Goals Scored 0.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Upala

(Away)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos FC
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)