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AD Sarchi vs Grecia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Sarchi host Grecia in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. AD Sarchi have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Grecia's 1.19 scored and 1.19 conceded. Head-to-head, AD Sarchi have won 1 to Grecia's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back AD Sarchi to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD Sarchi
20%
Draws
46%
Grecia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Grecia haven't matched AD Sarchi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 16%
Grecia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Grecia
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 36 / 100
Grecia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Grecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Grecia has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AD Sarchi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Grecia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

Grecia

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)