Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Sarchi vs Grecia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
AD Sarchi Logo

AD Sarchi

1 - 1
FT
Grecia Logo

Grecia

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Canales J.
64' Event
Ugalde A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between AD Sarchi and Grecia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AD Sarchi
30%
Draws
37%
Grecia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Grecia haven't matched AD Sarchi's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 18%
Grecia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Grecia
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Canales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugalde A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 36 / 100
Grecia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Grecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Grecia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AD Sarchi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Grecia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
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Grecia

(Away)
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
16 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)