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AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jimenez A.
43' Event
Canales J.
45'

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Sarchi and Quepos FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD Sarchi
15%
Draws
51%
Quepos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quepos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Quepos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 16%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Quepos FC
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Sarchi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Canales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Quepos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 36 / 100
Quepos FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Quepos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Quepos FC let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

AD Sarchi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Quepos FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 5

Quepos FC

(Away)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)