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AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Sarchi host Santa Cruz in the Liga de Ascenso. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: AD Sarchi at 1.32 goals for, 1.46 against; Santa Cruz at 1.19 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor AD Sarchi slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.38) back AD Sarchi to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AD Sarchi
15%
Draws
28%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Sarchi come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on AD Sarchi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
4:0
Mar 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Feb 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 41 / 100
Santa Cruz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

AD Sarchi found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Santa Cruz
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
11 Oct
Quepos FC
2 : 1
AD Sarchi
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)