Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Unión Tarma

AD Tarma

3 - 1

Alianza Huanuco

Our Tip

Match Events

Mazzo A.

24'

Rojas J.

39'

Flores A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Tarma in this Copa de la Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Tarma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

AD Tarma

33%

Draws

27%

Alianza Huanuco

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AD Tarma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

AD Tarma average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Alianza Huanuco's 1.
40% — that's where the model lands on AD Tarma taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de la Liga fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

AD Tarma Clean Sheet 20%

Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Tarma	Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	9	9
Draws	9	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Copa de la Liga

AD Tarma vs Alianza Huanuco

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Oct 20, 2025 Liga 1

Alianza Huanuco vs AD Tarma

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Jul 31, 2025 Liga 1

AD Tarma vs Alianza Huanuco

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Feb 23, 2025 Liga 1

Alianza Huanuco vs AD Tarma

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Tarma Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzo A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rojas J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Tarma 40 / 100

Alianza Huanuco 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Tarma Alianza Huanuco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Tarma found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Alianza Huanuco conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AD Tarma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Tarma VS Alianza Huanuco

1.75 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1