Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
AI Match Summary
AD Tarma host Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sporting Cristal have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while AD Tarma have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, AD Tarma have won 1 to Sporting Cristal's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (0.56 - 2.38) back Sporting Cristal to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AD Tarma haven't matched Sporting Cristal's recent run of results.
- Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sporting Cristal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
AD Tarma's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sporting Cristal conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
AD Tarma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AD Tarma
(Home)Sporting Cristal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | AD Tarma | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | 5 |
