Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Aguilar A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between AD Torrejon and Alcorcon B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD Torrejon
20%
Draws
46%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Torrejon come out ahead of Alcorcon B on wins alone.
  • Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 12%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Alcorcon B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
1:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Torrejon
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Alcorcon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 22 / 100
Alcorcon B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Alcorcon B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AD Torrejon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Alcorcon B
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)