Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Torrejon vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pradillos Castrillejo J.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Canillas.
  • Win probability leans AD Torrejon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 19%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Canillas
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.22 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Canillas
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs AD Torrejon
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Canillas
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs AD Torrejon
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Canillas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pradillos Castrillejo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Canillas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 85 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Torrejon scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Canillas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 8

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)