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AD Torrejon vs Leganes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
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Match Events

32' Event
El Haddadi S.
40' Event
Rodriguez G.
62' Event
Herrero J.

AI Match Summary

Leganes B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
46%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Leganes B.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leganes B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 16%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Leganes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Leganes B
2:5
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs AD Torrejon
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Leganes B
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs AD Torrejon
3:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs AD Torrejon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer El Haddadi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 31 / 100
Leganes B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Leganes B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Torrejon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Leganes B
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

Leganes B

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)