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ADA Jaen vs Comerciantes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen host Comerciantes FC in the Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. ADA Jaen have averaged 1.07 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Comerciantes FC's 1.32 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, ADA Jaen have won 0 to Comerciantes FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward ADA Jaen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
ADA Jaen
20%
Draws
19%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC haven't matched ADA Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ADA Jaen a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Comerciantes FC
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs ADA Jaen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 67 / 100
Comerciantes FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ADA Jaen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ADA Jaen found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Comerciantes FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

Comerciantes FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams