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ADA Jaen vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
ADA Jaen Logo

ADA Jaen

2 - 0
FT
Comerciantes Unidos Logo

Comerciantes Unidos

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Rodriguez F.
90' Event
Rodriguez F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ADA Jaen
20%
Draws
23%
Comerciantes Unidos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADA Jaen come out ahead of Comerciantes Unidos on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on ADA Jaen taking it.
  • ADA Jaen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ADA Jaen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 14%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga
ADA Jaen vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 66 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Comerciantes Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

ADA Jaen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ADA Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Comerciantes Unidos
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 7

Comerciantes Unidos

(Away)
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3
Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)