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ADA Jaen vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Cubas A.
52' Event
Cubas A.
52'
Cavero G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between ADA Jaen and Santos FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
ADA Jaen
28%
Draws
22%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ADA Jaen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Santos FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs ADA Jaen
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Santos FC
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs ADA Jaen
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Santos FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estacio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 59 / 100
Santos FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Santos FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

ADA Jaen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Santos FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

ADA Jaen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Santos FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226