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Stadium Background

ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
ADA Jaen Logo

ADA Jaen

1 - 0
FT
Union Comercio Logo

Union Comercio

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Duque L. In: Cano L.
Out: Duque L.
46'
Sub
Beltran A. In: Rivera J.
Out: Beltran A.
54'
Sub
Yllescas J. In: Cassiano F.
Out: Yllescas J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADA Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ADA Jaen
20%
Draws
33%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio have won more games recently than ADA Jaen.
  • ADA Jaen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Union Comercio
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio
1:0
May 31, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs ADA Jaen
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs ADA Jaen
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Comercio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 42 / 100
Union Comercio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADA Jaen's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: ADA Jaen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Union Comercio let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Union Comercio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
18 Oct
ADA Jaen
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Oct
Comerciantes FC
0 : 2
ADA Jaen
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

Union Comercio

(Away)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)