Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen host Union Comercio in the Liga 2. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Union Comercio have shipped 0.74 goals a game lately, while ADA Jaen have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, ADA Jaen have won 2 to Union Comercio's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Union Comercio. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ADA Jaen
35%
Draws
37%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio have won more games recently than ADA Jaen.
  • Union Comercio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Union Comercio
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs ADA Jaen
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs ADA Jaen
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
ADA Jaen vs Union Comercio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 24 / 100
Union Comercio 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADA Jaen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

ADA Jaen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Comercio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Union Comercio
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
ADA Jaen
26 Jul
ADA Jaen
3 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0
AD Cantolao
25 Jul
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 13 7 5 1 15:4 26
2 Llacuabamba 14 7 3 4 20:10 24
3 Carlos Mannucci 14 7 3 4 15:10 24
4 Pirata 13 6 3 4 20:16 21
5 U. San Martin 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
6 Cesar Vallejo 14 4 4 6 11:13 16
7 ADA Jaen 13 3 6 4 10:12 15
8 AD Cantolao 14 2 4 8 14:28 10
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 15 8 4 3 21:12 28
2 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
3 Sport Huancayo 2 15 6 4 5 20:13 22
4 Union Minas 14 5 6 3 22:11 21
5 Santos FC 15 6 3 6 19:20 21
6 Ayacucho 15 5 4 6 19:19 19
7 Alianza Huanuco 14 5 4 5 17:17 19
8 Estudiantil CNI 15 4 4 7 24:20 16
9 Binacional 15 2 3 10 10:49 9
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)