Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Bekele S.
14'
14'
Hefamo T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Adama City and Hawassa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hawassa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adama City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Hawassa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adama City | Hawassa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
0:2
Jun 24, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Hawassa
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Adama City
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adama City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekele S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hefamo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adama City 41 / 100
Hawassa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adama City Hawassa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adama City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Adama City scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Hawassa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Adama City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Adama City VS Hawassa
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Adama City
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
21 May
Adama City
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
09 May
Adama City
4 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
Hawassa
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
29 Apr
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Hawassa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
