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Adama City vs Shire Endaselassie

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sherefa H.
25' Event
Aitken B.
42'
Tsegaab Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Adama City and Shire Endaselassie finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adama City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Adama City
20%
Draws
38%
Shire Endaselassie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adama City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Shire Endaselassie haven't matched Adama City's recent run of results.
  • Adama City are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adama City Shire Endaselassie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Shire Endaselassie
4:0
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Adama City
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Adama City
2:4
Sep 23, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Shire Endaselassie
2:3
Apr 4, 2020 Premier League
Adama City vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adama City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherefa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aitken B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adama City 51 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adama City Shire Endaselassie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Adama City scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Shire Endaselassie conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Adama City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adama City VS Shire Endaselassie
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635