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Adama City vs Sidama Bunna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adama City host Sidama Bunna in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Adama City have averaged 1 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Sidama Bunna's 1.06 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Adama City have won 1 to Sidama Bunna's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.63) point toward Sidama Bunna. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Adama City
30%
Draws
23%
Sidama Bunna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adama City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sidama Bunna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adama City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Adama City Clean Sheet 20%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adama City Sidama Bunna
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Adama City
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Sidama Bunna
2:2
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Adama City
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Sidama Bunna
0:0
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Sidama Bunna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adama City 67 / 100
Sidama Bunna 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adama City Sidama Bunna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adama City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Adama City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sidama Bunna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Adama City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Adama City VS Sidama Bunna
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adama City

(Home)
26 Oct
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1 : 0
Adama City
22 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 1
Adama City
16 Oct
Adama City
0 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
Page 1 of 6

Sidama Bunna

(Away)
25 Oct
Al Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Sidama Bunna
18 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0
Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0
Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Ethio Electric S.C. 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Bahir Dar Kenema 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Mechal SC 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
6 Welayta Dicha 4 1 2 1 8:4 5
7 Sheger Ketema FC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 Adama City 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Halaba Ketema FC 4 1 2 1 3:8 5
10 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
11 Hadiya Hossana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 St. Georges 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
14 Hawassa 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
15 Fasil Kenema 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Gamo Chencha FC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
18 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)