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AI Match Summary
Adamstown Rosebud host Newcastle Olympic in the NPL Northern NSW. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Adamstown Rosebud have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Newcastle Olympic's 2.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Olympic slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Newcastle Olympic to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Newcastle Olympic demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than Adamstown Rosebud (1.5 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Newcastle Olympic.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebud | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adamstown Rosebud scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Newcastle Olympic let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Adamstown Rosebud went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Newcastle Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 49:22 | 40 |
| 2 | Belmont Swansea United | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40:30 | 32 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 4 | Maitland | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 26 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 33:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26:41 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 24:44 | 14 |