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Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Adamstown Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gismero N.
30'
Muller J.
30'
Muller J.

AI Match Summary

Adamstown Rosebud host Newcastle Olympic in the NPL Northern NSW. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Adamstown Rosebud have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Newcastle Olympic's 2.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Olympic slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Newcastle Olympic to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adamstown Rosebud
6%
Draws
90%
Newcastle Olympic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newcastle Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle Olympic demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than Adamstown Rosebud (1.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Newcastle Olympic.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamstown Rosebud Newcastle Olympic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
2:0
Apr 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud
4:0
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Gismero N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soper K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamstown Rosebud Newcastle Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamstown Rosebud scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Newcastle Olympic let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Adamstown Rosebud went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Newcastle Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adamstown Rosebud VS Newcastle Olympic
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah17421126:4114
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414