Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Adamstown Oval

Newcastle Olympic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Adamstown Rosebud play Newcastle Olympic in the NPL Northern NSW 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adamstown Rosebud averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Newcastle Olympic averaged 2 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Adamstown Rosebud won 1, Newcastle Olympic won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Adamstown Rosebud and 1.75 for Newcastle Olympic. This points to a Newcastle Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Adamstown Rosebud

34%

Draws

35%

Newcastle Olympic

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Newcastle Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Adamstown Rosebud picked up more points recently compared to Newcastle Olympic.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 12%

Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Adamstown Rosebud	Newcastle Olympic
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	7	11
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.48	2
Goals Conceded	1.76	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Apr 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Jul 12, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Apr 11, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Aug 10, 2024 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamstown Rosebud 30 / 100

Newcastle Olympic 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Adamstown Rosebud Newcastle Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Newcastle Olympic or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adamstown Rosebud attacking → ← attacking Newcastle Olympic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamstown Rosebud scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Newcastle Olympic let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Adamstown Rosebud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Newcastle Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 35

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	22	19	2	1	50:18	59
2	Edgeworth Eagles FC	22	17	2	3	50:15	53
3	Weston Workers Bears	22	16	2	4	61:25	50
4	Lambton Jaffas FC	22	9	6	7	37:29	33
5	Maitland	22	9	5	8	42:41	32
6	Newcastle Olympic	22	8	7	7	47:38	31
7	Charlestown Azzurri	22	6	6	10	32:34	24
8	Adamstown Rosebud	22	7	2	13	33:47	23
9	Cooks Hill United	22	7	2	13	26:47	23
10	Belmont Swansea United	22	4	8	10	34:45	20
11	Valentine	22	4	4	14	28:60	16
12	New Lambton	22	1	4	17	21:62	7