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Adanademirspor vs Sivasspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Adana Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ethemi V.
Assist: Celik M.
22'
Demirtas E.
46'
Sub
Celik C. In: Avramovski D.
Out: Celik C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adanademirspor
6%
Draws
90%
Sivasspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sivasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sivasspor lately — more wins on the board than Adanademirspor.
  • Sivasspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanademirspor Sivasspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 27 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Sivasspor
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Adanademirspor
5:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super Lig
Sivasspor vs Adanademirspor
5:1
Oct 25, 2024 Super Lig
Adanademirspor vs Sivasspor
2:4
Mar 16, 2024 Super Lig
Adanademirspor vs Sivasspor
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanademirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunc G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ethemi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanademirspor 10 / 100
Sivasspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanademirspor Sivasspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Sivasspor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Adanademirspor scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adanademirspor VS Sivasspor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54