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Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nakamura S.
15' Event
Harpas N.
21' Event
Harpas N.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Cobras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Adelaide Cobras
20%
Draws
40%
South Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • South Adelaide haven't matched Adelaide Cobras's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Cobras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 15%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras South Adelaide
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
4:0
May 31, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Harpas N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nakamura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

South Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 35 / 100
South Adelaide 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras South Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Adelaide let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Cobras scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: South Adelaide has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Cobras VS South Adelaide
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Cobras

(Home)
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
04 Jul
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 3
Fulham United
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South Adelaide

(Away)
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1
South Adelaide
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 21 14 2 5 55:26 44
2 Adelaide Olympic 21 14 1 6 42:24 43
3 Modbury Jets 21 12 5 4 45:20 41
4 Fulham United 21 10 4 7 39:30 34
5 Cumberland United 21 11 1 9 36:27 34
6 Blue Eagles 21 9 6 6 33:28 33
7 Adelaide Atletico 21 10 3 8 37:33 33
8 The Cove FC 21 7 5 9 28:33 26
9 Eastern United 21 6 4 11 24:42 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 21 6 2 13 22:43 20
11 South Adelaide 21 4 3 14 25:59 15
12 Salisbury United 21 4 2 15 26:47 14
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)