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Adelaide Comets vs Para

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Ellis Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Porter J.
8' Event
Porter J.
13' Event
Irabona A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Adelaide Comets and Para finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Comets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Adelaide Comets
15%
Draws
0%
Para
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Comets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Comets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adelaide Comets a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 20%
Para Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Comets Para
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.26 1
Goals Conceded 1.81 4.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs Adelaide Comets
2:5
May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Para
4:0
Jun 21, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs Adelaide Comets
2:3
Mar 21, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Para
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
Para vs Adelaide Comets
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Porter J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Irabona A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Para Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Comets 85 / 100
Para 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Comets Para

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Comets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Para's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Para lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Adelaide Comets scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Comets VS Para
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Comets

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Comets
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
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Para

(Away)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)