Sport Picks
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico
Australia
SA State League 
Match Events
23'
23'
Katsambis P.
70'
70'
Pudler J.
(Penalty)
73'
73'
Rapuano S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Adelaide Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Adelaide Atletico.
- Adelaide Olympic are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Adelaide Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Adelaide Atletico, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Adelaide Olympic have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide Olympic | Adelaide Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico
3:1
Jul 18, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adelaide Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Katsambis P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pudler J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Adelaide Atletico Compare
Top Goalscorer Rapuano S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adelaide Olympic 42 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Atletico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adelaide Olympic scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Adelaide Atletico let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Away concern: Adelaide Atletico has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Adelaide Olympic VS Adelaide Atletico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide Olympic
(Home) 05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0 Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4 Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2 Adelaide Olympic
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4 Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0 Salisbury United
Page 1 of 4
Adelaide Atletico
(Away) 21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3 Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2 Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0 Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0 Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3 Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2 Adelaide Atletico
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0 Adelaide Atletico
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders -
TBD -
Fulham United 2
Blue Eagles 3
Modbury Jets -
TBD -
Adelaide Olympic 3
Adelaide Atletico 1
Semi-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 7
Blue Eagles 0
Modbury Jets 10
Adelaide Olympic 0
Final
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 4
Modbury Jets 1
