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Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide

Australia Australia

SA State League
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Olympic host South Adelaide in the SA State League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. South Adelaide have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Adelaide Olympic have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Adelaide Olympic slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.19) point toward Adelaide Olympic. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Adelaide Olympic
6%
Draws
4%
South Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Olympic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Adelaide Olympic have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 20%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic South Adelaide
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1:0
May 10, 2024 NPL South Australia
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 85 / 100
South Adelaide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic South Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

South Adelaide's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: South Adelaide registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS South Adelaide
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Olympic

(Home)
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0
Salisbury United
27 Jun
Modbury Jets
4 : 1
Adelaide Olympic
20 Jun
Adelaide Olympic
2 : 0
The Cove FC
12 Jun
Eastern United
2 : 1
Adelaide Olympic
06 Jun
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
Page 1 of 6

South Adelaide

(Away)
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1
South Adelaide
27 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 1
Fulham United
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1
South Adelaide
13 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 2
South Adelaide
06 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 2
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders18121549:2337
2Adelaide Olympic18111633:2334
3Fulham United18103538:2733
4Modbury Jets1895434:1832
5Blue Eagles1894531:2531
6Adelaide Atletico1893633:2530
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1875626:2626
9Adelaide Cobras18521121:3717
10Eastern United18441018:3616
11South Adelaide18331219:4912
12Salisbury United18321321:4211
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)