Sport Picks
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
Australia
SA State League 
Match Events
33'
33'
Nassau E.
39'
39'
Nassau E.
63'
63'
Markham K.
AI Match Summary
The SA State League game between Adelaide Olympic and South Adelaide finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Olympic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Adelaide Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Adelaide Olympic's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Adelaide Olympic have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 20%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide Olympic | South Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
5:1
May 2, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adelaide Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Nassau E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aqil A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
South Adelaide Compare
Top Goalscorer Markham K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adelaide Olympic 58 / 100
South Adelaide 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adelaide Olympic South Adelaide
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adelaide Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adelaide Olympic scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
South Adelaide's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
South Adelaide's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Adelaide Olympic VS South Adelaide
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide Olympic
(Home) 05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0 Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4 Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2 Adelaide Olympic
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4 Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1 Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0 Salisbury United
Page 1 of 4
South Adelaide
(Away) 15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3 Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3 South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3 Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2 The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3 South Adelaide
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1 South Adelaide
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1 South Adelaide
13 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 2 South Adelaide
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 56:26 | 47 |
| 2 | Modbury Jets | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 46:20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 42:25 | 43 |
| 4 | Fulham United | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 42:31 | 37 |
| 5 | Blue Eagles | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 6 | Adelaide Atletico | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 40:34 | 36 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 36:28 | 34 |
| 8 | The Cove FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29:36 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25:44 | 22 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22:45 | 20 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 28:48 | 17 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 26:62 | 15 |
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
