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Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Olympic play The Cove FC in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adelaide Olympic averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. The Cove FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Olympic won 1, The Cove FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Adelaide Olympic and 1.44 for The Cove FC. This points to a Adelaide Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Adelaide Olympic
6%
Draws
4%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Olympic has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to The Cove FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Adelaide Olympic.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic The Cove FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Demasi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nassau E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

The Cove FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 84 / 100
The Cove FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic The Cove FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

The Cove FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Adelaide Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

The Cove FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS The Cove FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Modbury Jets1685330:1329
6Blue Eagles1683528:2427
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711