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Adelaide Utd U23 vs Campbelltown City

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia ServiceFM Stadium Pitch 1
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AI Match Summary

Adelaide Utd U23 play Campbelltown City in the NPL South Australia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adelaide Utd U23 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Campbelltown City averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Utd U23 won 2, Campbelltown City won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Adelaide Utd U23 and 1.31 for Campbelltown City. This points to a Adelaide Utd U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Adelaide Utd U23
30%
Draws
31%
Campbelltown City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adelaide Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd U23 picked up more points recently compared to Campbelltown City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Utd U23 Campbelltown City
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Campbelltown City
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Utd U23
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Campbelltown City
4:2
May 3, 2025 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Utd U23
2:1
May 25, 2024 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Utd U23
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Utd U23 39 / 100
Campbelltown City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Utd U23 Campbelltown City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adelaide Utd U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adelaide Utd U23 attacking → ← attacking Campbelltown City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Utd U23 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Campbelltown City let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Adelaide Utd U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Campbelltown City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1MetroStars17114248:1837
2Adelaide City17105233:1435
3West Torrens Birkalla17103434:2633
4FK Beograd1793531:1930
5Croydon1783638:3027
6Playford Patriots1775535:2626
7Adelaide Utd U231757522:2422
8Sturt Lions FC17701030:3021
9Campbelltown City1754827:2919
10West Adelaide1746733:3418
11Adelaide Comets17341019:3413
12Para1702159:752