Sport Picks
Adelaide Utd vs Macarthur FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
A-League Coopers Stadium, Adelaide 
AI Match Summary
Adelaide Utd host Macarthur FC in the A-League. This one's hard to separate. Macarthur FC have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Adelaide Utd have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.67. Past meetings favor Adelaide Utd slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.17 - 1.21) back Adelaide Utd to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Adelaide Utd lately — more wins on the board than Macarthur FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide Utd | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Adelaide Utd scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Macarthur FC conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Adelaide Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide Utd
(Home)Macarthur FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Central Coast | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
