Sport Picks
Adelaide Utd vs Newcastle Jets
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Coopers Stadium, Adelaide 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Goodwin C. In: Burkitt B.
Out: Goodwin C.
45'
45'
Taylor C.
Assist: Wilmering D.
51'
51'
Taylor C.
Assist: Bayliss L.
AI Match Summary
The A-League 2025/2026 game between Adelaide Utd and Newcastle Jets finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Jets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Adelaide Utd haven't matched Newcastle Jets's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Utd taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide Utd | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide Utd
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Newcastle Jets
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Australia Cup
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide Utd
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Newcastle Jets
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide Utd
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adelaide Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Muniz J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dukuly Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Newcastle Jets Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor C.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adelaide Utd 84 / 100
Newcastle Jets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adelaide Utd Newcastle Jets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adelaide Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adelaide Utd scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Newcastle Jets has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Adelaide Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Adelaide Utd VS Newcastle Jets
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide Utd
(Home) 17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0 Tai Po
11 Aug
Adelaide Utd
0 : 2 Cong An Ha Noi
30 Jul
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Adelaide Utd
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2 Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5 Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0 Tai Po
11 Aug
Adelaide Utd
0 : 2 Cong An Ha Noi
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3 Auckland FC
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
03 Apr
Adelaide Utd
1 : 1 Auckland FC
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Newcastle Jets
(Away) 15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1 Newcastle Jets
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2 Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1 Newcastle Jets
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
