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Adiada Siauliai vs Dainava Alytus

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adiada Siauliai play Dainava Alytus in the Lithuanian Cup 2017. Dainava Alytus are favorites here. Recently, Adiada Siauliai averaged 1 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Dainava Alytus averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Adiada Siauliai won 0, Dainava Alytus won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 27, 2017 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Adiada Siauliai and 1.05 for Dainava Alytus. This points to a Dainava Alytus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Adiada Siauliai
18%
Draws
58%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Adiada Siauliai picked up more points recently compared to Dainava Alytus.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Adiada Siauliai Clean Sheet 22%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adiada Siauliai Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2017 Lithuanian Cup
Adiada Siauliai vs Dainava Alytus
0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adiada Siauliai 26 / 100
Dainava Alytus 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adiada Siauliai Dainava Alytus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dainava Alytus & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adiada Siauliai attacking → ← attacking Dainava Alytus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adiada Siauliai scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Dainava Alytus let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Adiada Siauliai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88