Sport Picks
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Excelsior 31 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- ADO 20 Heemskerk have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — Excelsior 31 are scoring more at 1.93.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior 31 taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADO 20 Heemskerk | Excelsior 31 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
2:0
Aug 8, 2005 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADO 20 Heemskerk Excelsior 31
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ADO 20 Heemskerk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Excelsior 31 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Excelsior 31
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Home) 10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior 31
(Away) 10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
