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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk Logo

ADO 20 Heemskerk

Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Harkemase Boys Logo

Harkemase Boys

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ADO 20 Heemskerk host Harkemase Boys in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: ADO 20 Heemskerk at 1.53 goals for, 1.63 against; Harkemase Boys at 1.77 for, 1.23 against. Past meetings favor ADO 20 Heemskerk slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.88, favoring Harkemase Boys. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
20%
Draws
47%
Harkemase Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harkemase Boys come out ahead of ADO 20 Heemskerk on wins alone.
  • Harkemase Boys are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 18 / 100
Harkemase Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Harkemase Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Harkemase Boys
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
24 Oct
Genemuiden
2 : 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 7

Harkemase Boys

(Away)
24 Oct
Harkemase Boys
4 : 0
Excelsior 31
17 Oct
VV DOVO
2 : 3
Harkemase Boys
10 Oct
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)