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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Staphorst finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
15%
Draws
42%
Staphorst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADO 20 Heemskerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADO 20 Heemskerk come out ahead of Staphorst on wins alone.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 13%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Staphorst
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 40 / 100
Staphorst 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Staphorst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Staphorst conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

ADO 20 Heemskerk found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Staphorst's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Staphorst
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 7

Staphorst

(Away)
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)