Sport Picks
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
ADO 20 Heemskerk in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADO 20 Heemskerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- ADO 20 Heemskerk have won more games recently than USV Hercules.
- Model gives USV Hercules a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADO 20 Heemskerk | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
4:0
Aug 28, 2022 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADO 20 Heemskerk 26 / 100
USV Hercules 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADO 20 Heemskerk USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
USV Hercules has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: ADO 20 Heemskerk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
ADO 20 Heemskerk VS USV Hercules
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Home) 10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 4
USV Hercules
(Away) 10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0 Sportlust
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
