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Adra vs CD Ronda

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between Adra and CD Ronda finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
15%
Draws
85%
CD Ronda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ronda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Ronda a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Adra Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra CD Ronda
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 30 26
Goals Scored 0.41 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.91 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Adra
3:0
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs CD Ronda
0:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs CD Ronda
3:3
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Adra
2:1
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs CD Ronda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 10 / 100
CD Ronda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra CD Ronda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ronda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ronda let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CD Ronda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Adra scored in 29% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ronda
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
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CD Ronda

(Away)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)