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Stadium Background

Adrar vs ASM Oran

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Adrar and ASM Oran finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Adrar
15%
Draws
76%
ASM Oran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASM Oran come out ahead of Adrar on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on ASM Oran taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Adrar Clean Sheet 10%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrar ASM Oran
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Adrar vs ASM Oran
1:4
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Adrar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrar 10 / 100
ASM Oran 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrar ASM Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Adrar found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

ASM Oran let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Adrar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adrar VS ASM Oran
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrar

(Home)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
Tixeraine
2 : 2
Adrar
25 Apr
Adrar
1 : 4
JSM Tiaret
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0
Adrar
10 Apr
Adrar
1 : 3
Hussein Dey
Page 1 of 6

ASM Oran

(Away)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
18 Apr
ASM Oran
1 : 0
Saida
10 Apr
Harrach
1 : 2
ASM Oran
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biskra 30 19 5 6 41:16 62
2 CA Batna 30 18 6 6 40:18 60
3 US Chaouia 30 18 6 6 55:22 60
4 MO Bejaia 30 17 9 4 44:18 60
5 JS Djijel 30 14 9 7 41:28 51
6 Annaba 30 14 6 10 35:21 48
7 Magra 30 10 9 11 29:30 39
8 Beni Thour 30 10 7 13 27:39 37
9 MSP Batna 30 9 9 12 32:36 36
10 Telaghema 30 9 9 12 32:37 36
11 Beni Oulbane 30 9 9 12 28:34 36
12 MO Constantine 30 9 9 12 25:33 36
13 Bordj Menail 30 9 8 13 34:31 35
14 Khroub 30 9 9 12 31:31 35
15 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 5 7 18 27:51 22
16 Chelghoum 30 1 3 26 13:89 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS El Biar 30 24 4 2 53:17 76
2 Harrach 30 18 8 4 46:19 62
3 CR Temouchent 30 17 8 5 38:23 59
4 RC Kouba 30 17 8 5 33:14 59
5 ASM Oran 30 18 4 8 38:19 58
6 Hussein Dey 30 11 10 9 34:24 43
7 Tlemcen 30 11 7 12 28:32 40
8 JSM Tiaret 30 11 6 13 35:31 39
9 Kolea 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
10 WA Mostaganem 30 9 8 13 32:39 35
11 Saida 30 9 7 14 26:29 34
12 GC Mascara 30 8 7 15 28:36 31
13 Arba 30 9 5 16 24:41 29
14 Tixeraine 30 7 5 18 30:46 26
15 Adrar 30 5 5 20 26:64 20
16 Bechar Djedid 30 4 5 21 29:58 17
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)