Sport Picks

Algeria

Ligue 2

JSM Tiaret

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Adrar play JSM Tiaret in the Ligue 2. JSM Tiaret are favorites here. Recently, Adrar averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. JSM Tiaret averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Adrar won 0, JSM Tiaret won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Adrar and 2.00 for JSM Tiaret. This points to a JSM Tiaret double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Adrar

18%

Draws

63%

JSM Tiaret

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: JSM Tiaret

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Adrar picked up more points recently compared to JSM Tiaret.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Adrar Clean Sheet 10%

JSM Tiaret Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Adrar	JSM Tiaret
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	13
Goals Scored	0.8	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.23	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 2

Adrar vs JSM Tiaret

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 2

JSM Tiaret vs Adrar

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrar 19 / 100

JSM Tiaret 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Adrar JSM Tiaret

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JSM Tiaret Win (2)

Secondary Pick JSM Tiaret & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adrar attacking → ← attacking JSM Tiaret

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adrar scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

JSM Tiaret let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Adrar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

JSM Tiaret lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 39

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Biskra	30	19	5	6	41:16	62
2	CA Batna	30	18	6	6	40:18	60
3	US Chaouia	30	18	6	6	55:22	60
4	MO Bejaia	30	17	9	4	44:18	60
5	JS Djijel	30	14	9	7	41:28	51
6	Annaba	30	14	6	10	35:21	48
7	Magra	30	10	9	11	29:30	39
8	Beni Thour	30	10	7	13	27:39	37
9	MSP Batna	30	9	9	12	32:36	36
10	Telaghema	30	9	9	12	32:37	36
11	Beni Oulbane	30	9	9	12	28:34	36
12	MO Constantine	30	9	9	12	25:33	36
13	Bordj Menail	30	9	8	13	34:31	35
14	Khroub	30	9	9	12	31:31	35
15	IB Khemis El Khechna	30	5	7	18	27:51	22
16	Chelghoum	30	1	3	26	13:89	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	JS El Biar	30	24	4	2	53:17	76
2	Harrach	30	18	8	4	46:19	62
3	CR Temouchent	30	17	8	5	38:23	59
4	RC Kouba	30	17	8	5	33:14	59
5	ASM Oran	30	18	4	8	38:19	58
6	Hussein Dey	30	11	10	9	34:24	43
7	Tlemcen	30	11	7	12	28:32	40
8	JSM Tiaret	30	11	6	13	35:31	39
9	Kolea	30	9	9	12	26:34	36
10	WA Mostaganem	30	9	8	13	32:39	35
11	Saida	30	9	7	14	26:29	34
12	GC Mascara	30	8	7	15	28:36	31
13	Arba	30	9	5	16	24:41	29
14	Tixeraine	30	7	5	18	30:46	26
15	Adrar	30	5	5	20	26:64	20
16	Bechar Djedid	30	4	5	21	29:58	17