Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Muacir
16'
16'
Ivancic K.
29'
29'
Muacir
AI Match Summary
Tolmin in this Slovenian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tolmin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tolmin lately — more wins on the board than Adria Miren.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Tolmin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tolmin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tolmin have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Adria Miren Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adria Miren | Tolmin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2024 Slovenian Cup
Adria Miren vs Tolmin
1:3
Mar 25, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Adria Miren
4:0
Sep 7, 2022 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Tolmin
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Adria Miren
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Tolmin
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adria Miren Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivancic K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Tolmin Compare
Top Goalscorer Muacir
2 Goals Assists Leader Kujovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adria Miren 30 / 100
Tolmin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adria Miren Tolmin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Adria Miren found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Tolmin let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Adria Miren has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Adria Miren VS Tolmin
1.57 Goals Scored 2.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Adria Miren
(Home) 19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0 Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1 Adria Miren
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1 Ljubljana Svoboda
29 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
3 : 1 Adria Miren
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4 Izola
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0 Sobec Lesce
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1 Ljubljana Svoboda
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4 Izola
17 May
Adria Miren
0 : 1 Jesenice
03 May
Adria Miren
0 : 3 Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 4
Tolmin
(Away) 19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1 Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4 Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2 Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0 IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3 Tolmin
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4 Tolmin
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3 Tolmin
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3 Tolmin
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3 Tolmin
18 Apr
Izola
2 : 4 Tolmin
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Doklezovje 2
Ljutomer 1
Dobrovce 5
Maribor Tabor 2
NK Jevnica 0
Vrhnika 3
Apace 0
Bistrica 5
Stojnci 1
Zavrc 2
Bogojina 0
Mura 4
ND Gorica 0
Bilje 1
Jadran Dekani 1
Koper 8
NK Velesovo 2
SD Polet 0
Bakovci 0
NK Carda Martjanci 7
SD Videm 2
Podvinci 0
Granicar Lendava 0
Nafta 15
Adria Miren 1
Tolmin 3
Bravo 5
NK Krka 0
Race 2
Pesnica 0
Mozirje 0
NK Brezice 4
Storzic Preddvor 5
Ziri 0
Marjeta na Dravskem polju 0
Maribor 4
Krsko Posavje 1
Rudar 3
Hajdina 0
Aluminij 4
Tisina 1
Hodos 2
Dravinja 0
Celje 3
Izola 0
Tabor Sezana 3
Gorisnica 1
Drava 5
Dob 0
Radomlje 1
O. Ljubljana 3
Domzale 0
Srednja Bistrica 2
Turnisce 4
Litija 0
Ilirija 1
Pusca 0
Beltinci 2
Zelezniki 0
Triglav 5
Bela Krajina 2
Slovan Ljubljana 1
NK Polana 1
Odranci 0
1/16-finals
Doklezovje 2
Dobrovce 4
Vrhnika 1
Bistrica 3
Zavrc 0
Mura 9
Bilje 1
Koper 2
NK Velesovo 1
NK Carda Martjanci 3
SD Videm 0
Nafta 3
Tolmin 0
Bravo 2
Race 3
NK Brezice 2
Storzic Preddvor 1
Maribor 2
Rudar 1
Aluminij 2
Hodos 0
Celje 8
Tabor Sezana 1
Drava 0
Radomlje 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Turnisce 0
Ilirija 1
Beltinci 4
Triglav 0
Bela Krajina 1
NK Polana 0
1/8-finals
Dobrovce 0
Bistrica 3
Mura 0
Koper 1
NK Carda Martjanci 1
Nafta 2
Bravo 7
Race 0
Maribor 2
Aluminij 0
Celje 3
Tabor Sezana 2
O. Ljubljana 3
Ilirija 0
Beltinci 10
Bela Krajina 0
Quarter-finals
Bistrica 0
Koper 2
Nafta 2
Bravo 3
Maribor 0
Celje 1
O. Ljubljana 5
Beltinci 2
Semi-finals
Koper 3
Bravo 0
Celje 2
O. Ljubljana 1
Final
Koper 0
Celje 4
