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Adria Miren vs Vrhnika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. SNL - West 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Adria Miren
20%
Draws
46%
Vrhnika
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrhnika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vrhnika have won more games recently than Adria Miren.
  • Adria Miren are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Adria Miren Clean Sheet 13%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adria Miren Vrhnika
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Vrhnika
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Adria Miren
4:0
Mar 23, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Adria Miren
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Vrhnika
3:0
Apr 15, 2023 3. SNL - West
Adria Miren vs Vrhnika
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adria Miren 39 / 100
Vrhnika 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adria Miren Vrhnika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adria Miren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adria Miren found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vrhnika has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Adria Miren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adria Miren VS Vrhnika
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adria Miren

(Home)
03 Oct
IB 1975 Ljubljana
2 : 1
Adria Miren
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
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Vrhnika

(Away)
03 Oct
Vrhnika
0 : 0
Krsko Posavje
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dob 26 16 8 2 56:21 56
2 Jesenice 26 14 7 5 51:28 49
3 Izola 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
4 Fama Vipava 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
5 Vrhnika 26 12 6 8 35:29 42
6 Skofja Loka 26 11 8 7 39:34 41
7 Sobec Lesce 26 11 8 7 30:26 41
8 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 12 4 10 56:36 40
9 Rudar Trbovlje 26 9 7 10 52:54 34
10 Sencur 26 10 2 14 46:50 32
11 Ziri 26 8 4 14 43:51 28
12 Bistrc 26 7 4 15 50:71 25
13 Adria Miren 26 6 4 16 34:60 22
14 NK Kranj 26 3 1 22 22:88 10
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)